Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.030168 0.032552 0.035049 0.037861 0.040944 0.044226 0.047990
2024-12-15 0.026316 0.029728 0.033500 0.037992 0.043215 0.049120 0.056332
2024-12-22 0.023298 0.027222 0.031737 0.037347 0.044170 0.052252 0.062628
2024-12-29 0.021206 0.025459 0.030512 0.037010 0.045212 0.055317 0.068850
2025-01-05 0.019527 0.023981 0.029420 0.036619 0.046004 0.057963 0.074591
2025-01-12 0.017941 0.022459 0.028107 0.035773 0.046044 0.059529 0.078904
2025-01-19 0.017089 0.021787 0.027792 0.036141 0.047631 0.063162 0.086215
2025-01-26 0.016188 0.020975 0.027214 0.036080 0.048580 0.065927 0.092458
2025-02-02 0.015580 0.020503 0.027041 0.036527 0.050220 0.069722 0.100445
2025-02-09 0.014759 0.019684 0.026335 0.036161 0.050644 0.071749 0.105888
2025-02-16 0.014084 0.019025 0.025802 0.035992 0.051311 0.074140 0.112034
2025-02-23 0.013433 0.018361 0.025218 0.035697 0.051750 0.076179 0.117738
2025-03-02 0.012952 0.017919 0.024935 0.035839 0.052871 0.079368 0.125631
2025-03-09 0.012326 0.017236 0.024263 0.035351 0.052973 0.080936 0.130919
2025-03-16 0.011682 0.016496 0.023468 0.034621 0.052633 0.081743 0.134932
2025-03-23 0.011191 0.015958 0.022946 0.034281 0.052888 0.083529 0.140791
2025-03-30 0.010730 0.015442 0.022431 0.033917 0.053070 0.085183 0.146523
2025-04-06 0.010199 0.014797 0.021686 0.033142 0.052508 0.085504 0.149776
2025-04-13 0.009968 0.014602 0.021629 0.033478 0.053843 0.089216 0.159775
2025-04-20 0.009661 0.014275 0.021347 0.033422 0.054489 0.091732 0.167651
2025-04-27 0.009476 0.014129 0.021345 0.033830 0.055966 0.095846 0.179084
2025-05-04 0.009141 0.013733 0.020921 0.033497 0.056092 0.097451 0.185504
2025-05-11 0.008862 0.013415 0.020611 0.033342 0.056528 0.099659 0.193376